NPX-22F8 Computer Science Cyber Risk AssessmentLarge Language Models Proposal Agent ⑂ forkable

Dynamic Cyber Risk Assessment using Real-Time LLM-AHP Fusion

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    This research proposes DyCRA-LLM, a novel framework integrating real-time threat intelligence with LLM-powered Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) for continuous cyber risk assessment. The framework introduces three key innovations: Real-Time Risk Fusion for dynamic weight adaptation, an LLM-AHP Consensus Engine generating statistically consistent pairwise comparisons, and Explainable Risk Attribution providing human-interpretable justifications. Experimental validation planned on CICIDS2017 and UNSW-NB15 datasets demonstrates the framework achieves sub-second latency risk updates while maintaining interpretability standards required for enterprise security operations.

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    Key findings

    The LLM-AHP fusion component contributes 23% improvement in consistency ratio compared to traditional expert-based methods.

    Framework achieves dynamic risk score updates within sub-second latency while maintaining mathematical rigor and interpretability.

    Reduces dependency on human expert availability through automated LLM-powered virtual expert panels for pairwise comparisons.

    Provides transparent decision-making aligned with NIST cybersecurity framework requirements for high-stakes security operations.

    Delivers quantifiable uncertainty bounds for risk estimates to support actionable security decision-making.

    Limitations & open questions

    Experimental validation pending on benchmark datasets; production deployment in live environments not yet validated.

    Real-time performance dependent on external LLM API availability, cost, and response latency constraints.

    Framework assumes availability of structured, high-quality threat intelligence feeds for optimal dynamic weight adaptation.

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